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China’s rising prices – behind the headlines

August 25th, 2010

There has been much coverage in the press around the impact China’s prices will have on its competitive position within global markets. The Daily Telegraph reports that “China’s manufacturing wages have vaulted from around $1,000 annually 10 years ago, to $3,900 last year”. This would imply China is set to lose its position as the workshop of the world, with manufacturing switching to new low cost markets or back to the West.

However if you look behind the headlines the issue is far from black and white.

Everything’s relative – wages don’t just rise in China: Wages are increasing all over the Asian region, not only in China, and they are increasing in Europe too. Vietnam, for example, announced a 12.5% rise in their minimum wage in March. In the UK annual factory gate inflation is running at 5.1%.

Rising prices bring other benefits – improved workplace conditions, quality levels and environmental practices: China doesn’t only want to create a better life for their workers by offering higher salaries and other social benefits, but also is attempting to clean up its environment. This means shutting down unhealthy factories who use outdated and dangerous production methods, just to be competitive. For example around 2,000 companies in the cement, steel and paper industries have been shut down in the past two years due to outdated working practices.

Shutting down ‘cost driven’ factories also has a positive side effect in the form of rising quality levels, with the factories left more focussed on producing ‘quality for a price’

So in summary it is true that prices are rising, but the debate needs to be widened to factor in inflation in other countries, improving workplace conditions, improved environmental standards and rising quality levels.

The top five China sourcing mistakes: Number 3 – Completing your product development in China

August 25th, 2010

In the next of our series on common sourcing mistakes we look at Western companies who choose to complete their product development in China.

For many inventors and manufacturers it can be tempting to ask factories to support their product development process through design suggestions, prototyping and engineering drawing support. This has the benefit of a) being cheap, and b) involving the factory in your new product from the start to help them shape the end outcome.

In short this should be avoided at all costs! Over the years we have seen many projects get stuck in ‘sampling limbo’, with some projects taking up to two years to move to production, owing to constant design tweaks and changes. Factories don’t make any money from the sampling process, so over time this will erode goodwill in your project and the factory will find other priorities.

Ensure you approach your factory with finished drawings, completed prototypes and are in situation where you’re ready to start full production. This will ensure the factory treats you seriously and gives your project precedence over the many other new product development projects they are approached with every day.

(A small plug for our business – China Works have a UK based design and prototyping team, which we set-up in response to the above issue. If we can help with your project please get in touch!)

Chinese Manufacturing Slows in July As Bank Lending Controls Bite

August 23rd, 2010

Chinese manufacturing output increased at its slowest rate for 17 months in July – in line with a general production slowdown across much of Asia – according to the HSBC China Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index.

The Index revealed that Chinese manufacturing output contracted from 52.1 in June to 51.2 in July (figures of 50 or above represent growth), the first such contraction since the economy began to rebound from recession in March 2009. The Chinese Federation of Logistics and Purchasing and the National Bureau of Statistics concurred with the figures.

The reason for the slowdown is being attributed to the government’s greater controls on bank lending, which have forced Chinese banks to reduce lending to businesses amid renewed fears of significant loan defaults. The tightening of bank lending has stifled booming property prices and affected manufacturing. The Chinese government has also reigned in its stimulus spending on construction projects, and placed new controls on investing in high-energy consuming and polluting factories. Analysts are split as to whether this represents just a short-term slowdown in Chinese manufacturing, or is a sign of slower growth to come later in 2010.

Northeast China Promoted As New Growth Centre

August 23rd, 2010

With economic development now at a fairly advanced stage along the east coast and in southern China, and with central China receiving a welter of grants and subsidies to attract commercial and industrial investment, the government’s next stated economic objective has seen a geography shift.

The economic development of the former ‘rust belt’ of northeastern China is an area that the government has long sought to boost, but it has now accelerated its approach to stimulate both long-term growth and a diversified economic base.

Northeastern China has traditionally been a key centre of heavy manufacturing, shipbuilding and automotive production, particularly during the command economy days of the 1960s and 70s. It has, however, been struggling to adapt to the demands of China’s 21st century economy. Now, Premier Wen Jiabao is pinpointing the region as “a new engine for China’s economic growth,” according to state media.

The Premier’s statement represents a governmental push to ramp up industrial diversification, attract new commercial investment and improve economic efficiency in the northeast – a region encompassing Liaoning, Jilin and Heilongjiang provinces and the Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region. The northeast has received significant foreign investment in recent years, with cities like Dalian, Shenyang and Harbin attracting most interest from both Chinese and foreign companies investing in the region.

China shipping terms – what do they mean?

August 11th, 2010

We’re often asked by customers what the different shipping terms mean, so here is a quick guide to the main terms you might come across:

Bill of Lading: Bill of lading are contracts between the owner of goods and the carrier. The customer needs an original or a copy as proof of ownership to take possession of the goods

Cost and freight: Cost & Freight to a named overseas port of import. Under this term, the seller quotes a price for the goods that include the cost of transportation to the named point of debarkation. The cost of insurance is left to the buyers account.

Cost, insurance and freight: Cost, Insurance and freight to a named overseas port of import.. Under this term the seller quotes a price ofor the goods (including insurance)

Ex-works: A term of sale in which for the quoted price, the seller mearly makes the goods available to the buyer at the sellers “named place”of business. This places the greatest responsibility on the buyer abd minimum obligations on the seller. The Ex Works term is often used when making an initial quotation for the sale of goods without any costs included

Free on Board (FOB): Common price term used in international trade. The seller is responsible for the cost of goods is to the point of loading it onto the ship or aircraft. The risk of loss of or damage to the goods is transferred from the seller to the buyer when the goods have been so delivered

Freight forwarder: An independent business which handles export shipments for compensation. At the request of the shipper, the forwarder makes the actual arrangements and provides the necessary services for expediting the shipment to its overseas destination.

The forwarder takes care of all documentation needed to move the shipment from origin to destination, making up and assembling the necessary documentation for submission to the bank in the exporter’s name. The forwarder arranges for cargo insurance, makes the necessary overseas communications, and advises the shipper on overseas requirements of marking and labelling

Packing list: A shipping document issued by shipper to carrier, Customs and consignee serving the purposes of identifying detail information of package count, products count, measurement of each package, weight of each package, etc

Made in the UK or Made in China? The answer is both….

August 11th, 2010

The big question for many manufacturers and inventors is whether to make your new product home or abroad. The UK offers shorter lead times, smaller stockholding requirements and greater control, while China offers obvious benefits around lower tooling costs and unit prices.

In the short term you’ll need to choose between countries to get your project going, but in the long term the answer is to establish relationships with factories in both countries.

Our most experienced customers maintain a global sourcing strategy, where they move production back to the UK when conditions allow (e.g. a weak pound, and capacity in UK manufacturing sector), and back to the Far East when conditions in this country become unfavourable (such as when factories start offering lengthy lead times, or prices jump 25% overnight)

We are currently seeing a trend back to China which is being driven by many UK manufacturers have full order books due to their export led growth. In the last fortnight we’ve had a number of new customers contact us to complain how manufacturing in the UK has suddenly become a challenge for their business.  Last year however the opposite was true with many customers looking to source locally due to the collapse of the pound.

The picture is also blurred further as over 70% of our customers are manufacturers themselves – looking to bring down the cost of components to make themselves more attractive abroad. These factories rely on Chinese prices for tooling and resource intensive parts to bring down their own production costs.

In summary we don’t condone customers moving their production to China at the expense of UK industry. We believe customers should develop a balanced approach to sourcing, with different manufacturing options to support different economic conditions. If a customer moves their production to the China we expect at some stage they will move their production back to UK, and at some stage it will also come back to China.

The top five China sourcing mistakes: Number 2 – Completing your product development in China

July 28th, 2010

In the next of our series on common sourcing mistakes we look at customers who look to complete their product development process in China. This can be defined as approaching a factory with incomplete (or even no) drawings, which are not signed off and expecting the factory to advise on product design and specification and complete prototypes.

Worse still we’ve seen a number of projects get stuck in the sample development process for years – with some projects stuck in an endless cycle of mould tweaks, materials changes, packaging changes, and so on.

The above is to be avoided at all times – you risk eroding any goodwill you’ve built up with your factory, who may move onto other higher priority projects. Get all your designs complete at home, and only approach the factory when you’re in a position to place an order. It is essential to ask the factory to complete pre-production samples for approval, but avoid getting them to develop ‘prototypes’, which may be subject to continuous change.

For a comprehensive guide on how to get things right, check out our ‘Ultimate checklist on China sourcing’

Can Chinese Economy Ride Manufacturing Wage Rises?

July 28th, 2010

The manufacturing sector “will remain a major part of the Chinese economy for at least the next 100 years despite strikes and increased labour cost,” according to comments published in an article in Chinese state media.

Manufacturing in China accounts for around 47 percent of GDP, but rising costs, particularly for wages, have prompted speculation that cheaper labour locations, such as Vietnam, Sri Lanka, Bangladesh and some countries in Africa, are poised to benefit from a transfer of manufacturing investment away from China.

This may happen to some degree, especially in highly cost-sensitive products manufacturing, but larger operations targeted at increasingly confident Chinese consumers, rather than produced for export, seem determined to maintain their presence in China. After all, retail sales in China for the first five months of 2010 rose 18.6 per cent year on year, according to the National Bureau of Statistics.

The article published by People’s Daily, states that it now costs “nearly four times as much to employ a Chinese worker in the garment sector than someone from Vietnam.”

By contrast, the average annual manufacturing wage in China’s Guangdong province “increased by 144 per cent from 1998 to 2008,” according to figures from the Economist Intelligence Unit. Wages in lower-cost provinces are rising even faster in percentage terms – up by 263 percent in Hunan province during the same period, and by 258 percent in Guizhou.

China Auto Sales Rise Almost 50 Percent, But Overcapacity Fears Remain

July 21st, 2010

It is a theme that we often refer to, but it is little surprise that auto manufacturing stories continue to grab headlines in China. The industry is experiencing an ongoing sales boom.

Total sales in the world’s largest auto market increased 47 percent year on year in the first half of 2010, according to the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers. This equates to 9.02 million vehicles sold between January and June, of which 3.18 million were “home-made passenger vehicles”, according to the CAMM.

The top five selling Chinese carmakers in the first half of 2010 were SAIC Motor, Dongfeng Motor, Changan Automobile, First Automobile Works, and Beijing Automobile Works. Meanwhile, General Motors’ vehicle sales in China during the first half of outstripped those in its home market for the first time in history. It sold 1.21 million units in China, and 1.08 million in the United States.

There is some concern, however, that Chinese auto manufacturers are expanding output too fast, despite the fact that more and more Chinese are owning their first car or trading up to a newer model. Auto output in China also rose significantly, up 49 percent year on year, for the first half of the year, but car sales in June slowed compared to previous months, prompting fears of possible overcapacity towards the end of the year.

The top five China sourcing mistakes: Number 1 – Asking your factory to shorten lead times

July 21st, 2010

In the first of a short series we’ll look at the top five sourcing mistakes that we commonly encounter, and recommend approaches you can take to avoid these traps.

The first mistake is the biggest ‘no no’ of them all – asking the factory to condense your lead times.  In theory most customers want to avoid this, but in practice your project may be running behind schedule resulting in your own customers putting pressure on you.

In our experience shortening production times is the primary cause of project failure, potentially resulting in corners cut and worse still giving the factory a comeback if the goods aren’t up to scratch – “you asked us to get these done in 2 weeks, instead of the 4 weeks we originally asked for….”

To avoid getting into this situation make sure you complete your product development at home to avoid unnecessary delays, build contingency into your timelines (particularly for first orders with a new factory), and ensure your timelines are clearly communicated to the factory. Ultimately it’s important to be patient – it’s better to deal with a 2 week delay, than a three month delay when you have to return a container load of faulty product.

For a comprehensive guide on how to get things right, check out our  ‘Ultimate China Sourcing checklist’