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China Predicted To Overtake U.S. As Leading Manufacturer By 2015

“China may well surpass the United States as the world’s leading manufacturer by volume of goods produced far sooner than expected,” according to a new think-tank report.

The gap China has to close is rather large – with the latest data, from 2007, indicating that the U.S. had a 20 per cent share of global manufacturing, with China claiming just 12 per cent.

This week’s report, however, by US-based research company IHS/Global Insight predicts that China will produce more in terms of real value-added than the U.S. by 2015. Only two years ago, the same company predicted that China would not overtake the United States in production terms until 2020.

More bright news for the Chinese manufacturing economy came from the latest Purchasing Managers’ Index, compiled by the China Federation of Logistics, which recorded a figure of 53.3 per cent in July, up 0.1 percentage point from June. This was the eighth monthly PMI increase since December 2008.

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